Super Rugby Round 4 Betting Predictions & Previews – Part1

Super Rugby Round 4 Kicks off on Friday 18th March, with a double header, in total we have a whopping 9 matches to look forward to in round 4, no doubt there will be many angry wives (or husbands…? This coming weekend) Round 4 also includes yet another historical fixture, with the very first Super Rugby match being hosted in Argentina with the Chiefs playing impressive, Super Rugby debutants the Jaguares at ESTADIO JOSE AMALFITAN, Argentina.

This Is Rugby Betting’s Super Rugby Rounds 4 Betting Tips & Previews

Hurricanes vs western force round 4 super rugbyHurricanes vs Force (Friday 18th March)

Force

The Force lost with 17-points over the Brumbies in their round 3 encounter, in a hard fought physical match, yet despite the margin of victory the Force were rather competitive throughout the match and it is not until the final minutes, where the Brumbies finally managed to pull away.

Perhaps the Western Force’s biggest problem over the past several super rugby seasons was that they have been competitive but mostly failed to convert close games into wins.

While the Force is always competitive, especially when they play at home, they have often struggled to win away from home, especially in New-Zealand.

Perhaps the most interesting fact of all is that the Western Force, who have played the Hurricanes 7 times since 2008, have NEVER managed to win a single game against them (the Hurricanes) both home and away. In all their losses against the Hurricanes the Force lost and lost BIG, with an average point’s difference of 15-points.

Another worrying aspect for the Force is that they have been rather blunt on offense, only managing to score 4-tries in their 3-matches thus far in Super Rugby 2016, with the most of their points coming mostly from the boot of South African recruit, Peter Grant.

Hurricanes

On the other side of this round 4 fixture you have the Hurricanes, the Hurricanes although being slightly lucky in last week’s 4-point win against the Blues, recorded their 1st win of the season.

Despite the Hurricanes losing their star All Black winger Milner Skudder, for the majority of the season, the Hurricanes still has a very strong side who will play against the Force.

Cory Jane, Julian Savea, Beauden Barrett, Tj Parenara, Victor Vito, and captain Dane Coles are only but a few of their big name players who the Hurricanes have selected for their round 4 fixture.

In the 7-matches, the Hurricanes have played against the Western Force since 2008 the average score margin was 34 – 19, in favour of the Hurricanes leaving the Hurricanes with a 15-points per match, points difference.

When these 2 teams met last year the Hurricanes demolished the Force by 42-12, thus, winning by 30-points.

Round 4 Super Rugby Predictions Hurricanes vs Force:

As mentioned above, the Hurricanes have never lost against the Force and we expect that trend to continue, with the Hurricanes picking up their 8th straight win. Sticking with statistics, especially because the Hurricanes are playing at home, expect the Hurricanes to win by at least 17-points.

What The Bookmakers Are Saying:

We have got this one spot on, and worldwide bookmaker BetVictor agrees with our prediction, making the Hurricanes big favourites to win this match.

Those looking for a straight up win can bet on the Hurricanes @ 1.11 from BetVictor.

In the highly unlikely event of an upset, the Force are on offer at odds as long as @6.50

Those fancying a spread bet, the line has been set at +/- 16-points at odds of @1.91

Rugby Bettings Recommended Bet

The Canes will definitely win, it’s just a case whether they will cover the spread. However, since they (the Hurricanes) are playing at home, and coming off a victory we expect them to cover the 16-point spread rather easily.   (Confidence 75%)

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Highlanders vs Waratahs Super Rugby Betting PredictionsWaratahs vs Highlanders (Friday 18th March)

The second fixture of Super Rugby 2016, round 4 makes for what should be a much more entertaining and closely contested match, compared to the opening fixture of round 4, where the Waratahs will be playing the Highlanders at home.

Waratahs

The Waratahs have sent mixed signals in terms of their form thus far in Super Rugby 2016. The Waratahs had a convincing victory over the Reds in Round 1 while losing against the Brumbies away from home (although the Brumbies have proofed to be unbeatable at home, so don’t read too much into that)

The Waratahs are coming off a bye and we believe it is fair to say the Waratahs first real test will come in round 4, against defending Super Rugby champions the Highlanders.

As mentioned numerous times, in the past the Waratahs is a side packed with big-name, international players, especially in the backline.

Nick Phipps, Kurtley Beale, Zac Guildford, Rob Horne, Matt Carraro and Israel Folau makes for one of the most dangerous backlines in the entire Super Rugby tournament.

The Waratahs are equally strong in the loose forward department with the big and strong Palu at 8, inspirational skipper Hooper is at 7, while vice-captain, David Dennis is playing alongside Hooper at 6. No doubt the latter two will be hunting for the Highlanders ball throughout the game.

Perhaps the most interesting, and surprising, statistic of all is the fact that, the Waratahs have won 69% of their games against the Highlanders, more specifically 13/19.

Another surprising statistic is that the Waratahs have won most of their games against the Highlanders by a fairly large margin as well, almost 7-points to be precise!

No doubt the men from New South Wales will be looking to make it 14/20 against the Highlanders in Friday’s round 4 blockbuster.

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Highlanders

The Highlanders despite losing their opening fixture against the Blues, have gotten better and better as the tournament has progressed. Narrowly sealing a victory against the Hurricanes in round 2, while impressively beating a very good Lions side, last week.

A potential problem area for the Highlanders in this match can be the fact, that despite winning the Lions quite convincingly, it was a rather physical match and with only a 6-day turnaround, combined with playing away from home, fatigue, under preparation and injury niggles might creep in towards the end of the match, especially if it is a tight match which we expect it to be. While the Tahs, on the other hand, is well rested and coming off a bye!

We mentioned the Waratahs have many big name, international players in their team so too does the Highlanders, and Friday’s fixture should make for a star-studded round 4 encounter.

The form of Highlanders captain, Ben Smith has been especially pleasing for Highlanders supporters, with Ben Smith being one of the standout players in Super Rugby 2016 this far.

Even though we mentioned above the Waratahs have had the upper hand against the Highlanders, with the Highlanders having won only 6 out of their 19 encounters against the Waratahs, it should be noted that the Highlanders have drastically improved over the past 2 seasons.

When the Waratahs and the Highlanders met last year, it was the Highlanders who won last year’s encounter against the Waratahs by 6-points, something which they would obviously like to repeat on Friday.

Round 4 Super Rugby Predictions Waratahs vs Highlanders

This is a rather tough one to predict, especially since the Highlanders had only a 6-day turnaround, and the Waratahs are coming of a bye. However a bye can sometimes break momentum, something the Waratahs haven’t quite managed to build up yet, while the Highlanders have momentum on their side, coming of a convincing Lions victory. We will bet against the statistics in this one and pick the Highlanders for a hard fought win, Highlanders by 5+

What The Bookies Are Saying:

Superb Australasian bookmaker William Hill, always offering good value in their odds, have made the Waratahs slight favourites to win this one at odds of @1.73, for a straight win.

The Highlanders, non-surprisingly, are slight underdogs, those fancying a punt on the underdogs can do so at odds of @2.13 for a straight win.

The line has been set at +/- 1.5-points at odds of @ 1.91

Rugby Betting’s recommended Bet Tahs vs Highlanders:

We believe there is no real value in taking a handicap bet which is so small at only 1.5 points, thus, we will back our belief in the Highlanders and recommend them for a straight up win @ 2.15 from William Hill Australasia. (Confidence 65%)

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Sharks vs bulls round 4 previewBulls vs Sharks

Friday Super Rugby, round 4 fixtures conclude with the Sharks vs the Bulls, in a South African derby which never disappoints.

Bulls

The Bulls are in a rebuilding phase, although many will claim they have been in a rebuilding phase for the past several years now since their last Super Rugby title win (was it as long ago as 2010?.) However, one positive for Bulls fans wanting a more expansive game plan is the axing (finally) of long term Bulls Coach Frans Ludexe for the slightly less conservative coach Nollis Marais.

The Bulls looked terrible in their opening fixture where they got beaten comprehensively by the Stormers at Newlands. It looked like it was going to be a case of the same old same old in Super Rugby 2016 for the Bulls, however, with that being said, it was their opening fixture and we will give the Bulls the benefit of the doubt. Especially since the bounced back in magnificent fashion against the Rebels (yes it was only the Rebels) however, it was the way the Bulls won running it out of their own 22 at times, something we rarely, if ever see from the Bulls.

From a statistical point of view, the Bulls have had the upper hand against the Sharks with the Bulls having won 15 out of their 26 encounters against the Sharks (58%) while there have been 2 draws between mentioned teams.

As testimony just how close the Bulls and Sharks derbies have been over the years, the average points difference is sitting at a mere 1.3 points in favour of the Bulls!

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Sharks

Despite the departure of the much beloved Duplesus brothers, the Sharks made up for it by essentially poaching (acquiring) some of the Cheetahs, and Springboks, finest players in winger/fullback Willie Leroux and tighthead prop Coenie Oosthuyzen.

Furthermore, the likes of long-serving Sharks and Springbok stalwarts “The Beast” are Jp Peterson are still there. Point being the Sharks, despite their horrible draw for Super Rugby 2016, and some departures of big name players, still have a very good squad.

The Bulls won last year’s derby in controversial style at the same ground (Loftus) with the referee later admitting he made a mistake claiming a forward pass while he rather should have awarded a try to the Sharks which would have broken a 3-games Sharks losing streak against the Bulls.

No doubt the Sharks will be out for revenge in their round 4 clash against the Bulls while at the same time looking to extend their top spot in the South African conference with 4-straight wins for Super Rugby 2016.

Round 4 Super Rugby Predictions Sharks vs Bulls.

The Sharks has quietly and unnoticeably been creeping up the overall super rugby log sitting (drawn) atop the combined Super Rugby Log, and top of the South African conference.

The Sharks, as mentioned above are a great team and although statistics slightly favour the Bulls, it does not quite tell the full story about the regression of the Bulls in the past several years.

A better unit, momentum and confidence combined with a bit of revenge leads us to believe the Sharks should win this one by about 8-points

What The Bookies Are Saying:

Worldwide bookmaker Marathonbet, who is one of the very best sportsbooks in the business, agrees with our round 4 super rugby prediction and allow users to bet on the Sharks, as slight favourites, at generous odds of  @1.83 for a straight win.

Those looking for a Bulls win, which is not impossible, can back the Bulls at odds of @2.00

The Line is set at +/- 1-point at odds of @1.95 with Marathonbet

Rugby Betting’s recommended bet Sharks vs Bulls:

We believe the Sharks will win this one with a little more than a converted try, thus, we will be backing them at -1 increasing our odds to a very generous @1.95 courtesy of Marathonbet  (Confidence 85%)

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CLICK HERE FOR OUR SUPER RUGBY PREDICTIONS PART 2 – SATURDAY MATCHES

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  • Timothy Coetzee

    Hurricanes – Attacking Well But Not Converting, Scrappy Play From THe Canes

    • Timothy Coetzee

      Oh yeah nice win for the Hurricanes! Time for the Highlanders to upset….ching ching $$